Is the steel industry on track to meet the world's climate goals?
Traditional steel manufacturing contributes more greenhouse gas emissions to our atmosphere than any other single industry (about 8% of global emissions). The energy intensive manufacturing processes include smelting iron ore in coke and coal fired blast furnaces; a technology that has remained unchanged for 200 years. Cleaning up steel manufacturing to minimise or eliminate the release of greenhouse gases requires a massive undertaking, involving significant capital investments. To put it bluntly it needs a green industrial revolution.
Robert Leportier is the Head of Trade Credit Insurance at one of the world’s largest steel producers, ArcelorMittal. During our last event on clean energy - Clean Energy Transition: A New Way Forward for Global Trade - he provided a unique insight into the enormous transformation green steel represents for the steel industry as well as his perspective as a credit manager. He told us: “Today the steel industry still using technology which dates back to the 19th century, meaning producing steel out of iron ore and coal in blast furnaces. And tomorrow, we focus on a complete change of technology, aiming to produce steel out of electric furnaces and using recycled steel fueled by gas in a first step and hydrogen in the future.”
What does clean energy transition look like in Steel?
- Blast furnaces that smelt iron ore by burning coke and coal can be replaced by electric arc furnaces. This requires a lot of power, but if the electricity can be supplied from renewable resources, the steel can be regarded as ‘green’.
- Hydrogen can help reduce the industry’s carbon footprint, When burned, hydrogen can be used to smelt the ore, while only emitting water instead of greenhouse gases.
- If the hydrogen itself is produced using renewable electricity this process can be completely free of greenhouse gas emissions.
Natural gas is used to power the creation of the hydrogen, but CO2 is released into the atmosphere as part of the process.
Natural gas is used in the creation of the hydrogen, but the CO2 is captured and stored.
Green electricity is used in place of natural gas in the creation of the hydrogen and only oxygen is released into the atmosphere.
What insights can our underwriters provide into the clean energy transition in the steel industry?
We asked our underwriters in several key advanced markets to share their knowledge. Perhaps unsurprisingly cost was listed as a key issue in every market. Our underwriters noted that steel companies are concerned about the price and costs of electricity, as well as the levels of capital expenditure required to transition steel plants to carbon neutral manufacturing.
When we looked into the appetite for green steel in their markets, there was a greater spread of responses. Although no markets showed zero appetite, interest in green steel across markets ranged from strong interest to not so much. This contrasts a little with research by the EU’s Joint Research Centre (JRC) which asserts there is evidence of an emerging market that is willing to pay a green steel premium.
Challenges: What are the three most urgent challenges in the steel sector in the coming three years?
1. Cost, cost, cost
There are a range of challenges urgently facing the steel sector. Primary among these is cost. This includes the challenges presented by high transition costs and the difficulties of sourcing finance to fund the capital expenditure of modernising the steel plants. Our underwriters in China explained: “The carbon emission financing system is not mature yet, Currently, the capital support is insufficient to enable the expensive transition to clean energy.” In addition, several markets questioned the ability to pass on costs to customers and whether customer were prepared to pay higher prices for green steel.
2. Supply chain sustainability
Securing and developing sustainable supply chains can also be a challenge, especially in terms of mining, transportation and processing of materials. Potential sourcing and commodity deficits provide challenges for many steel producers in France and the USA. Our underwriting team in Japan noted: “It’s not just about steel manufacturing. Steel companies have to work with their suppliers to ensure sustainable practices along the supply chain, including in the raw materials and logistics.”
3. Energy security
The steel industry is energy intensive. Finding a secure clean energy supply is becoming an increasing challenge for steel producers and cited by several markets The steel industry is energy intensive. Finding a secure clean energy supply is becoming an increasing challenge for steel producers and cited by several markets including France, Poland, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands. The latter also noted the challenge is not just about be able to obtain energy from renewable resources, but whether national grids have the capacity to supply enough green electricity to power the plants.
Opportunities: What are the top three opportunities in the steel sector in the coming three years?
1. Development of new markets
The greatest opportunity for the steel sector over the coming three years is the development of new markets. The steel industry is not the only one seeking to reduce carbon emissions. Industries that use steel and are aiming for net zero targets are driving demand for green steel, a demand that is likely to increase in the near future. This is particularly true for electric vehicle manufacturers that are increasingly including Scope 3 emissions as part of their decarbonisation strategies. Scope 3 refers to the carbon emissions generated in the production of materials used in their cars. As a result, demand for green steel is growing.
2. Increased competitiveness
Several of our underwriters noted increasing competitiveness as an opportunity for the steel sector. As a result of increased demand for green steel, particularly in automotive but also in areas such as wind turbine production, producers of green steel can gain a competitive advantage over steel manufacturers that are slower to transition.
3. Key role in new technologies
Steel companies that invest in developing new and innovative applications for recycled steel can potentially create new markets and revenue streams, as well as reduce their environmental impact. In addition to the manufacturing process itself, steel producers could benefit from investing in carbon capture and storage, and related new technologies
How has the industry moved forward over the past six months?
In the months following our live event, Clean Energy Transition: A New Way Forward for Global Trade the steel industry has made great strides forward towards net zero. This forward momentum, however, is not uniform across the world. The Atradius underwriting team in Germany explained that more steel manufacturers are investing in green steel production, which is also being marketed more aggressively. In Italy the Italian steel producer, Acciaieria Arvedi, announced they had the world’s first zero emissions steel mill. However, elsewhere progress towards climate goals is slow. High energy costs, low margins and challenges such as the Russian war with Ukraine have impacted consumption and had a dampening effect on progress towards energy transition.